I haven't felt the urge to write anything of substance about the campaign since over two weeks ago. There really hasn't been much to write about from the strictly Presidential perspective. Over these last two weeks, Obama has maintained a large and steady national popular vote and electoral vote lead over McCain. It is very very likely (but not certain) that Barack Obama will be the next President of the United States of America. That's all there is to it.

So how big will Obama win? Possibly very big. States in the past reliably presidential Republican now are in play. The Obama campaign is now on the air in Georgia, North Dakota, and McCain's home state of Arizona. All three of these states are sufficiently close for the Obama campaign to spend money in them. The Obama campaign's embrace of the 50 State Strategy has enlarged the electoral map to the point where the McCain campaign is overwhelmed. Even Arizona may go for Obama.

And though I'd bet Arizona remains for McCain, the Obama campaign's presence there certainly will help in Arizona Congressional races, four of which are in play: AZ-01, AZ-03, AZ-05, and AZ-08.